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Friday, April 12, 2024

Chiefs-Lions picks: A TNF parlay to think about with Travis Kelce injured

The NFL is again. Thursday Night time Soccer is again. Making dangerous sports activities bets in your favourite NFL group to finally disappoint you … yeah, that’s again, too.

As we prepare for tonight’s Week 1 Thursday Night time Soccer matchup with the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs internet hosting the Detroit Lions, we’ve got our first alternative to go over to DraftKings Sportsbook and place actual cash on actual, common season soccer.

At the moment, DraftKings nonetheless has their “DK Particular” guess up for the sport. At -20000 (that’s minus twenty thousand), you’ll be able to guess that Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes will full a couple of move within the recreation. What does that imply? Which means if you wish to win $100.00 for this guess, you would need to threat $20,000.00 on the guess. On the flip aspect, in the event you had been to “solely” guess $100.00 on these -20000 odds, it could pay out a whopping 50 cents. Laborious to justify the chance there.

However in the event you take odds that will not be fairly as ridiculous, even when they’re favored, you’ll be able to string these bets collectively in what is called a “parlay” to doubtlessly improve your payout. You possibly can head over to DraftKings for a full definition of what a parlay is – and no, it isn’t simply the foundations of engagement in Pirates of the Caribbean – however we are going to cowl the fundamentals right here. Basically, a parlay is a string of a number of bets (every particular person guess generally known as a “leg”), the place for there to be any payout in any way, every leg of the parlay must be appropriate. It’s all-or-nothing. In a three-leg parlay, if one of many bets misses however the different two hit, there isn’t a “partial payout.” It’s merely a loss. But when all three bets hit, that’s the place there is likely to be alternative for cash to be made.

So take into account this four-leg parlay for tonight’s recreation:

  1. Lions OVER 13.5 factors. Detroit’s offense shouldn’t be the issue in 2023. With playmakers throughout the offense and a possible for a shootout, the Lions ought to cruise previous 14 whole factors.
  2. Lions QB Jared Goff OVER 229.5 passing yards. This can be a pretty modest passing whole for Goff and the Lions contemplating the excessive scoring recreation everybody nonetheless expects this to be.
  3. Chiefs UNDER 38.5 factors. With uncertainty surrounding Travis Kelce’s knee damage, it’s greater than affordable to suppose the Chiefs are held to 38 or much less factors within the recreation.
  4. Chiefs WR Skyy Moore OVER 29.5 receiving yards. Talking of Kelce, if he misses the sport, the Kansas Metropolis passing assault has to go someplace. Skyy Moore will surely be a beneficiary of further seems. Thirty receiving yards is actually on the desk.

The parlay odds for this guess can be +175, which means a $100 guess would pay out $275 (the unique $100 guess plus an additional $175). Once more, this takes all 4 particular person legs of the parlay have to return true for this guess to pay out. However have a look at the percentages: As a substitute of a $100 parlay, if 4 $25.00 bets had been positioned on every of those legs individually and all 4 had been to return true, the full payout can be $228.44 (the unique $100 guess plus an additional $128.44). By stringing these 4 bets right into a four-leg parlay, a successful guess pays out over 36% greater than the 4 solo bets by themselves.

Does this imply the parlay is a secure guess to make? After all not. Each guess additionally presents threat. However stringing collectively a sequence of less-risky bets right into a parlay, whereas the chance is bigger as a result of it presents extra alternatives for the general guess to overlook, the potential reward is bigger. As soon as a primary parlay guess is known and made, the sensation of it hitting is like no different, and shortly, a novice sports activities higher can finally win a treasure that might make Jack Sparrow jealous. You possibly can head over to DraftKings Sportsbook to attempt to make it occur.

In the event you like this materials, be sure to’re subscribed to The SB Nation NFL Present podcast the place we cowl Thursday Night time Soccer sports activities bets each week. You possibly can catch us wherever you hearken to your podcasts. As at all times, you’ll be able to comply with me on Twitter/X @ChrisDunnells. Odds/strains topic to vary. T&Cs apply. See draftkings.com/sportsbook for particulars.

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