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Friday, March 1, 2024

NFL Week 17 betting preview: Can Bengals extend winning and ATS streak?


The Cowboys and Titans kicked off a pivotal Week 17 on Thursday. Dallas received the sport and lined the unfold as highway favourites over a Tennessee crew that didn’t discipline all its starters because it’s making ready for a win-and-they’re-in recreation subsequent week in Jacksonville.

Underdogs and favourites have near-identical data in opposition to the unfold (ATS) over the previous 4 weeks, which is a credit score to the oddsmakers, whereas unders have hit in roughly 53 per cent of contests since Week 13. Earlier within the season, each unders and underdogs had been hitting at or above 60 per cent.

All however two matchups this weekend are projected to be one-score contests, concluding with a coinflip recreation between the Payments and Bengals who boast a mixed 23-7 report.

Not like final week, winter climate just isn’t anticipated to impression many video games. Right here’s a take a look at the remaining Week 17 board with betting traces, totals, tidbits and picks.

 

Editor’s Notice: Playing issues aren’t solely about shedding cash. They happen on a continuum, and may have an effect on an individual’s entire life. To be taught extra about creating a wholesome relationship to playing, and to seek out assets for assist, click on here.

 

SPREAD & TOTALS

• Arizona Cardinals (+3.0) at Atlanta Falcons (-3.0) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
• Chicago Bears (+6.0) at Detroit Lions (-6.0) | Over/Beneath: 52.5
• Jacksonville Jaguars (-4.0) at Houston Texans (+4.0) | Over/Beneath: 43.5
• Denver Broncos (+4.0) at Kansas Metropolis Chiefs (-12.5) | Over/Beneath: 44.5
• Miami Dolphins (+2.5) at New England Patriots (-2.5) | Over/Beneath: 41.5
• Indianapolis Colts (+5.5) at New York Giants (-5.5) | Over/Beneath: 38.5
• New Orleans Saints (+6.5) at Philadelphia Eagles (-6.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
• Carolina Panthers (+3.5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+3.5) | Over/Beneath: 40.5
• Cleveland Browns (+1.5) at Washington Commanders (-1.5) | Over/Beneath: 40.5
• San Francisco 49ers (-9.5) at Las Vegas Raiders (+9.5) | Over/Beneath: 41.5
• New York Jets (-1.5) at Seattle Seahawks (+1.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
• Minnesota Vikings (+3.0) at Inexperienced Bay Packers (-3.0) | Over/Beneath: 48.5
• Los Angeles Rams (+6.5) at Los Angeles Chargers (-6.5) | Over/Beneath: 42.5
• Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) at Baltimore Ravens (+2.5) | Over/Beneath: 35.5
• Buffalo Payments (-1.5) at Cincinnati Bengals (+1.5) | Over/Beneath: 49.5

Atlanta has misplaced six of the previous seven and the below hit in every of these losses. 5 of the previous six all-NFC matchups involving the Cardinals have gone over the whole.

Bears-Lions has the week’s highest complete, which isn’t stunning. Every crew boasts a league-best 10-5 report on overs this season.

The Jaguars haven’t crushed the Texans because the 2017 marketing campaign. Houston beat Jacksonville 13-6 again in Week 5.

Kansas Metropolis has lined simply one in all its previous eight residence video games and not one of the previous 5 versus an AFC West opponent.

Miami has lined 4 in a row in opposition to New England, however simply one in all its previous 4 video games general. The Patriots beat the Dolphins 20-7 in Week 1. With Tua Tagovailoa again in concussion protocol, Teddy Bridgewater will get the beginning for Miami. Bridgewater has been wonderful ATS all through his profession, particularly on the highway.

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The Giants have lined six straight following a loss; New York misplaced an in depth one to Minnesota final week and may clinch a playoff berth with a victory.

The over has hit 5 of the previous six occasions the Eagles and Saints have met in Philadelphia; the Eagles are 6-1 ATS of their seven most up-to-date contests at Lincoln Monetary Subject.

Carolina is 3-2 ATS as highway underdogs this season whereas Tampa Bay is 0-5-1 ATS as a house favorite.

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Cleveland unders have hit 5 weeks operating; Washington has lined all 4 occasions they’ve performed a crew with a shedding report this season.

The road within the 49ers-Raiders recreation jumped from 5.5 to 9.5 after it was introduced Derek Carr was being benched; San Francisco has lined all however one recreation on their present eight-game profitable streak.

The Jets and Seahawks each misplaced final week. New York is 6-1 ATS in its previous seven video games following a loss, whereas Seattle is 0-6 ATS in its previous six general.

The over hit 4 of the previous 5 occasions the Vikings and Packers have met; the one below occurred in Week 1 of this season when Minnesota received 23-7.

Chargers unders have hit in 4 consecutive weeks and Rams unders are 5-1 when they’re the highway crew.

The underdog has lined in 20 of the previous 29 occasions the Steelers and Ravens have renewed their rivalry.

Buffalo and Cincinnati are each ranked within the high six in factors scored per recreation, but each groups are unders groups this season. Payments unders are 5-10 and Bengals are 5-9-1. Cincinnati has received seven in a row each straight up and ATS and are an NFL finest 12-3 ATS by way of 15 video games.

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MIKEY J’s CARD

(Every week all through the common season I’ll be sharing some picks for the Sunday/Monday slate and can monitor my report, so you’ll be able to observe or fade responsibly all season lengthy. 2022 general report so far: 123-144-5)

Favourites ATS (32-37-2): Payments -1.5, Jets -1.5, Jaguars -4.0, Giants -5.5, 49ers -9.5

Underdogs ATS (29-26-3): Browns +1.5, Dolphins +2.5, Steelers +2.5, Vikings +3.0, Panthers +3.5

Overs (13-25): JAX/HOU 43.5, NO/PHI 42.5, LAR/LAC 42.5, BUF/CIN 49.5

Unders (33-35): CAR/TB 40.5, CHI/DET 52.5, PIT/BAL 35.5

Moneyline canines (17-23): Dolphins, Steelers, Browns

(Listed odds and tendencies above through Covers as of Friday and topic to vary)

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